Paul J Sullivan


Adjunct Professor
Professor of Economics, National Defense University Adjunct Professor, Security Studies, Georgetown Adjunct Senior Fellow, Future Global Resource Threats, Federation of American Scientists Columnist, Turkiye Gazetesi, Istanbul Columnist, UB Post (Mongolia)


Center for Security Studies (CSS)
General profile

Alt. phone




Alt. email or

Office hours

Just prior to my classes


Dr. Paul Jerome Sullivan
5712176009 (USA cell)

Present Employment:

Professor of Economics at the National Defense University (NDU) (Since July 1999)

Adjunct Professor of Security Studies, Georgetown University (since Fall 2005)

Adjunct Senior Fellow, Future Global Resource Threats, Federation of American Scientists (since December 2012)

Columnist for Turkiye Gazetesi of Istanbul, Turkey (since September 2011)

Columnist for the UB Times of Ulan Baator, Mongolia (since May 2012)

Contributor, Egypt Oil & Gas, Cairo, Egypt (since August 2014)

Past Employment:

Adjunct Professor, Science, Technology and International Affairs, Georgetown University (2007- 2011)

Vice President, Programs, United Nations Association, National Capitol Area (June 2010 to June 2011)

Adviser to the Sudan project at the United States Institute of Peace for (March 2009-July 2010) -- Still advise USIP on these and other issues. Was co-author of major work on resource management in The Sudan.

Senior Fellow at the East West Institute (EWI) (2007)

Columnist, Middle East Times (1994-1999)

Assistant Professor, Economics American University in Cairo, Egypt (1993-1999)

Consultant to law firms and others on energy, environment and due dili-gence issues (1990-1993)

International energy economist at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (1986-1990)

Acting Instructor, Microeconomics (1983-1986) and Research Assistant to a multinational project on technological change and choice in Asia (1981-1986), Yale University,

Commercial and Charter Fisherman (summers of 1975-1979)

Publication Efforts:

Published extensively on many issues including the following:

The political economy of oil and gas, the economics of war and peace, energy security (globally), water security (globally), resources and development, Russia-Ukraine-EU energy and other issues, US-Islamic and US-Arab relations, US-Iran relations, Iraq, extremism, the economy and politics of Egypt, energy in Libya, security implications of Middle East economies, water stress and conflict in South Asia and China, the US economy, the future of energy, Pakistan, Afghanistan, African energy, US national security, energy and environment connections, energy in future cities, potential water conflicts in the MENA region, the energy-water-food security nexus, the Psychology of leadership, environmental issues in economic development, the economics and environment of Mongolia, China, the “Asia Pivot” of the US, and much more.

Published in venues as widely diverse as:

The Arab Studies Quarterly, The New Republic, World Policy Journal, The Georgetown Journal of International Affairs, The Jordan Journal of International Affairs, ABC-CLIO, The United States Institute of Peace, The International Journal of Contemporary Iraqi Studies, Alternatives: Turkish Journal of International Affairs, Middle East Online, UPI, The Middle East Times, The Daily Star (Beirut), Daily News (Egypt), The Independent Institute, Ashgate (book chapter), Routledge (Encyclopedia Chapter), Cairo Papers in Social Science, Comment Visions (EuroNews), Oak Ridge National Laboratory, The U.S. Congress, Oil and Gas Journal, Circle of Blue, History News Network, The Review of International Affairs, Review of Middle East Economics, Business Monthly (Egypt), El Wekelah (Egypt), Al Jadid, The National Review, The National Journal, Middle East Insight, The Turkish Studies Association Bulletin, Al Arabiya, Middle East Policy, The Energy Journal, MEES. MEED, Oil and Gas North Africa, The Center for the Study of Islam and Democracy, East West Institute, MIT Electronic Journal of Middle East Studies, Future Directions International (Australia), Gateway House (India), AICGS, UB Post (Mongolia), Turkiye Gazetesi, Gulf Times, The National (UAE), The Lobe Log, PBS Frontline Tehran Bureau, The U.S. Congress, and many more

(A partial list of publications can be found at:

Media Outreach:

Some of the many TV, radio, press, and other media quoted or interviewed by on five continents:

VOA, VOA-Turkish, VOA-Azerbaijani, Al-Hurra, Nile TV, NHK-TV (Japan), NPR, PRI, CNN, CBC, BBC, CBS, Stern (Germany), Veja (Brazil), Epoca (Brazil), Correio Brasilense (Brazil), Radio Australia, Deutsche Welle, Die Zeit, Die Welt, Le Point, The Middle East Times, The Egyptian Gazette, Daily News Egypt, The Jordan Times, The ,Daily Star, The Straits Times, The Daily Mail, Bloomberg, Colombian National Radio, Semana (Colombia), Politico, Zee News (India), USA Today, Al Jazeera, Time Magazine, The New York Times, LA Times, The Christian Science Monitor, The Toronto Star and numerous other Canadian Newspapers,
C-Span, Oregon Public Radio, Fox News, ABC(Australia), The Media Line,
The Wall Street Journal, UPI, The Telegraph (UK), Euronews, Scotland on Sunday, The San Francisco Chronicle, The Chicago Tribune, Asia Times, The Scotsman, The Independent (UK), Reuters, AP, The Globe and Mail, Oil and Gas Journal, Energy Intelligence, The New Republic, Al Arabiya, Le Point (France), MENA News Service, Circle of Blue, Gulf News, The National (UAE), Al Ittihad (UAE), Huffington Post, Houston Chronicle, The Statesman (UK), Arabian Business, Marketwire, Financial Post, CQ, The National Journal, Petroleum Economist, The Jerusalem Post, Slate, Scripps Howard, Sanlian Life (China), Berliner Morganpost, Europa, Welt Am Samtag, El Diario Yucatan, Life Week (China), BusinessWeek, O Popular (Brazil), Le Figaro , Taipei Times, The Age (Australia), The Namibian, Ha’aretz. Economic Times (India), Financial Times (Germany), Dagen Nyheter (Sweden), ADR (Germany), The Straits Times, The Egyptian Gazette, Al Ahram Hebdo, International Business Times, Chinese National Radio, CBC, Wall Street Journal Live(Hong Kong), The Independent, USA Today, Seoul (South Korea) Radio 103.3, Daily Sabah, and many more

Other Selected Efforts:

Was on the editorial board of The Cairo Papers in Social Sciences (1994-1999)

Taught classes on “The Economics of Egypt”, “The Economic Development of the Middle East”, “The Economic History of the Middle East”, and “Energy and Environment in the Middle East and Central Asia” while at the American University in Cairo in the 1990s

Led or helped lead delegations of senior officials on international field studies to various parts of the world as part of NDU duties, including trips to the UAE, Qatar, China, Morocco, Egypt, Tanzania, Greece, Turkey, Norway, France, Belgium, Australia, China, Mongolia and many more

Led or Assisted in the Energy Industry Study for 8 years at NDU

Assisted in the Agribusiness Industry Study for 3 years at NDU

Assisted in the Environment Industry Study for 2 years at NDU

Led North Africa and Levant Regional Security Study at NDU for many years

Lead of Gulf/Turkey Regional Security Study (Spring 2013)

Led or helped lead National Security Strategy and Crisis Decision exercises at NDU for many years

Taught International Comparative Business Environment (India, Germany, China, etc.)

Taught Industry Analysis for energy, health care, environment and other industry studies

Organized an Ambassadors’ series at NDU for many years

Taught a class on “The Islamic World” at NDU for many years

Taught elective on “Economic Warfare” at NDU

Taught elective on “Iran and Iraq” at NDU

Teaching (for over 9 years) a very popular class on “Energy and Security” at Georgetown University

Taught for classes on “Energy and Security in the Middle East” and “Natural Resources and Security in the Middle East and Africa” at Georgetown University for 5 years

Contributed to “Expert group meeting on Assessments of Economic and Social Developments in the ESCWA Region During the Last 25 Year and Priorities for the Rest of the Decade (2000-2009)”, Beirut, Lebanon, 4 to 6 May, 1999

Part of numerous working groups on Iran, Iraq, Libya, the Tigris-Euphrates issues, Sudan, etc. at the Atlantic Council of the United States, PILPG, and others over the years (2000-2009)

Was significant participant in meetings on energy and Africa for UNCTAD in Geneva and Nairobi, Kenya in 2006 and 2007

Spoke on the concept of environmentalism in The Koran at a mosque in Dar Es Salaam, Tanzania in 2007

Was part of the EWI Trialogue (US-EU-China); Spoke on Energy Security for EWI conference in Berlin in 2007; was part of team of 3 to engage very high-level Jordanians for EWI-lead issues in 2007

Was speaker at breakout session at a EWI UN-related conference (at the UN) on non-proliferation issues in 2008

Was in Egypt and Jordan meeting with high-level officials, members of the Jordanian Royal Family, academics, military officials, diplomats from the EU and the Arab world, business persons, and more; gave talks to high-level audiences in Jordan during the summer of 2008

Speaker at an exclusive oil conference at St. Andrews University in Scotland in May 2009

Participant on panels with the Crown Prince of Iran, The Prime Minister of Mongolia and other notables at the Creative Leadership Summits in 2009 and 2010

Was 8 weeks in Egypt meeting with senior military, diplomatic, political, academic and business leaders; also met with some senior UN people and leadership at the GCSP in Geneva during the summer of 2010

Presented well over 200 public lectures, often to rather large and high-level audiences, since 1986.

Sought after as an adviser to senior officials and others

Testified before Congress at the Western Hemisphere Sub-Committee of the Foreign Affairs Committee on the importance of Canadian oil to the US in a time of global political stress in March 2011

Regularly brief staffers and others on The Hill and others on various issues related to the Middle East, energy security and other issues

Presented on US energy policies to a group of senior energy officials from around the world for a State Department visitors' program run by Meridian House in February 2011

Active part of a very high-level discussion on US-China issues at the Aspen Washington Ideas Forum in April 2011.

Spoke on water, land and energy issues in Sudan at the Carnegie Institute of Peace, December 2011

Actively involved in round tables at the Council on Foreign Relations on energy and related issues during the spring of 2012

Led an effort to give advice and aid a GCC country on an important educational mission in December 2011.

Presented on the situation in Iraq to about 500 policy makers at a conference on US-Arab relations run by NCUSAR in October 2011

Was 6 weeks in Egypt in the summer of 2012 meeting with leaders in business, academia, diplomacy, the military and with people of all walks of life

Spoke on energy and economic issues during a conference call with a major investment bank in September 2012

Spoke at the NCUSAR Policymaker’s Conference on Egypt and on Syr-ia/Iraq in October 2012

Spoke at USIP on threats to energy infrastructure in October 2012

Was part of a very high level, all-day meeting at The Federation of American Scientists considering Iran issues and the potential costs of war in November 2012

Spoke at the Middle East Center at the University of Pennsylvania on the energy-water-food nexus in November 2012

Spoke at a very high-level DOD meeting on futures on the energy-water-food security nexus in November 2012

Spoke to a group of retired Marine Generals, including a former Commandant of the Marine Corps, on the diplomatic, economic, energy and other issues related to the “Pivot to Asia” on December 2012. Was part of a follow up to this meeting in April 2013.

Spoke at a very high-level DOD meeting on Egypt in January 2013

Spoke at the Wharton School on energy issues in the MENA region in February 2013

Continuously advising staffers on The Hill, senior officials in The State Department and others on Middle East, North Africa and Energy issues

Spoke on energy and security issues related to Algeria and Mali at the Center for National Policy in March 2013

Was on panel related to the Trans-Pacific Partnership at the National Defense University in February 2013

Spoke on geostrategic and business strategic aspects of the natural gas trade in the Asia Pacific region at the CERI Natural Gas Conference in Calgary, CA in March 2013

Was part of a brainstorming session at a very high level on US energy security in March 2013

Was part of a very high level panel, including the former President of Shell and a former Undersecretary of Energy, on US-Arab energy relations for NCUSAR in April 2013

Presented on U.S. energy security perspective for the American Institute for Contemporary German Studies in April 2013

Presented on energy security in the MENA region at Johns Hopkins SAIS in April 2013

Presented on issues of economies and the energy-water-food nexus in the revolutionary states in the MENA region to the Russell 2020 Association in April 2013

Was a very active participant in a major, multi-day track II event regarding Egypt run by CSIS, The Williamsburg Foundation and The College of William and Mary in April 2013

Presented on the economic and security situation in Bahrain as part of a panel at the Rayburn Building as part of NCUSAR's Congressional Briefing series in April 2013

Presented on the situation in Syria as part of a panel at the Rayburn Building as part of NCUSAR's Congressional Briefing series in May 2013

Presented on the situation in the Middle East and North Africa at the Jackson Hole Center for Global Affairs in Jackson Hole, Wyoming in June 2013

Presented on global energy markets and global security issues to The Joint FAO Course in July 2013

Presented on the situation in North Africa to senior staffers and others in leadership at The Cannon House Office Building in July 2013

Has a major part in an upcoming documentary, “The Water War”.

Presented on the geopolitical, geoeconomics, and foreign policy implications of the shale (gas and oil) revolution at the German Federal Foreign Ministry in August 2013

Member of the Water Security and Conflict Prevention Trust a Joint Project between the United States Institute of Peace and the Association of the U.S. Army

Presented on water security issues and conflict in the Middle East and North Africa at the convention of the Association of Opinion Journalists in Newport, Rhode Island in October 2013

Presented on the geopolitics of the situation in the situation in Syria at the Washington International School in October 2013

Was on panel with the Egyptian Ambassador to the US and others discussing political and economic aspects of North Africa at the NCUSAR’s Policymakers’ Conference in October 2013. My talk was on the economic and political issues Egypt and Libya face and some ways out.

Presented "Global Governance, Geopolitical and Cyber Threats to Oil and Gas" (followed by an extensive Q&A session with oil and gas CEOs and VPs and others on issues ranging from energy issues in China, Myanmar, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt, the US, Japan, Germany, and more) for a very high level conference run in October 2013.

Was part of a panel that included Inge Andersen, Vice President, Middle East and North Africa, The World Bank and Dr. Walid Saleh, Head of the MENA Region for the UN University Institute of Water, Environment and Health. The topic was the energy-water-food nexus in the Middle East and North Africa. This was part of the Harvard Arab Weekend and happened on November 8, 2013.

Presented on the geo-strategic aspects of the shale gas revolution at a meeting sponsored by the German Embassy and the Friedrich Ebert Stiftung on December 2, 2013

Presented on the risks to oil and gas investments (and investments in oil and gas derivatives) to a group of Tanzanian government leaders.

Presented on geo-strategic risks to global oil and gas markets and possible geostrategic reactions to a sharp decline in shale gas (a straw man) at a very high level Trans-Atlantic dialogue on energy with delegations from the US, Germany and the EU.

Was interviewed extensively by BBC Radio 5 on South Sudan (about 30 minutes total) during the third week of December 2013

Was in a one-hour special holiday program on Al Hurra TV looking at global Energy Market --- aired on January 1, 2014

Spoke on the energy-water-food nexus to a very large group of military officers, staff, and associated companies at The College of William and Mary on January 7, 2014

Spoke on US-GCC Military Cooperation, GCC-India and GCC-China relations at a NCUSAR conference on the “Dynamics of US-GCC Military Cooperation” on February 13, 2014

Was extensively interviewed for an NPR program and for Seoul, South Korea Radio’s “The Morning” on the Russia-Ukraine crises in March of 2014

Was interviewed by The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal and others on the Ukraine-Russia crises in March 2014

Advising senior officials in the State Department on energy issues in Asia, the EU, and others for many years

Advising senior staffers on The Hill and Congresspersons on energy, Middle East and other issues for many year.

Often on-call expert on various energy, water, economic, political and strategic issues for military, diplomatic, NGO and other senior officials

Was active participant in a conference at Ditchley Park in the UK on shale gas and shale oil in May 2014

Was active participant in conference at the Atlantic Council on the geopolitics of natural gas in June 2014

Was an active participant at a roundtable for PILPG on power sharing in Iraq in July 2014

On Panel with former Congressman Bart Gordon, DAS at DOE, Julio Freedman on sustainable energy issues in Africa as part of an event related to the US_Africa Leaders' Summit in Washington, DC in August 2014.

Presented “Global Energy Markets: A Primer” to a group of Senior Foreign Area Officers in September 2014

Presented on "African energy markets and global energy security" to a group of senior officials in September 2014

Presented on "Middle East energy markets and global energy security" to a group of senior officials in September 2014

Other Skills, Experience, and More:

Lived for 6 years in Egypt

Been involved with the Middle East and North Africa region for 20 years

Did extensive Ph.D. field work in India (1981 and 1983)

Widely traveled and exposed to numerous cultures, including having to work and get things done in many different cultures in the EU, Asia, Africa, the Middle East, Australia, etc.

Internationally recognized expert on energy security, energy markets, international security issues related to resources (energy, water, land, and non-energy minerals), international economic development (or lack of it), and Middle East and North African economic, political and military issues and more

Recognized expert on natural gas markets and strategies in the Asia-Pacific region, and within the EU-Russia-Central Asian contexts.

Sought after expert on strategic thinking on a wide variety of economic, political, and technical issues

Well-connected to high level experts and have used connections in research, setting up speakers, and in general outreach for NDU, EWI, UNANCA, FAS, and others.

Knowledge of the workings of various governments

Knowledge of Ukraine-Russia-EU issues

Knowledge of Trans-Atlantic Issues.

Knowledge of energy and other resource policies of many countries, including, but not limited to the U.S. , Germany, China, Japan, India, Russia, the EU, Canada, Brazil, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Pakistan, Iran, Iraq, Myanmar, Mongolia, etc.

Bone fide expert on Egypt, Sudan and South Sudan, Libya, Syria, Jordan, the GCC, Iran, Mongolia, Turkey, India, and others.

Considerable knowledge of Ukraine, Russia, Germany, the UK, Italy, Japan, China, Myanmar, Tanzania, Kenya, Morocco, Algeria, Mali and others.

Willing and able to work within many cultural and social environments

A quick study on many issues, including some very complex ones

Known for skills in public speaking and dealing with the press and other media

Able and willing to work with very high-level leadership from many countries

Known for time management skills and ability and willingness to work on many projects simultaneously

Known for common sense and practical approaches to complex issues

Known to be able to explain complex issues in everyday language

Known as a team player

Known as a mentor to younger students and practitioners, as well as colonels, generals, sheikhs, business people, journalists and more

Known for discretion and effectiveness as a member of Track II meetings and other high-level efforts

Known for working under tight deadlines on complex issues and getting the job done

Who is Who in America 2013, 2014, 2015

Member, American Institute of Contemporary German Studies (Johns Hopkins University)

Member, British American Business Association

Member, Churchill Society

Member, Chatham House

Member, International Institute of Strategic Studies (IISS)

Member, Japanese Institute of International Studies

External Expert, Gateway House, Indian Institute for Global Affairs

Member, International Geothermal Association


Download cv.pdf


  • Certificate -- Seminar XXI (2006) MIT, International Relations
  • Ph.D. (1986) Yale , Economics
  • M.Phil (1983 ) Yale, Economics of Developing Countries
  • M.A. (1982) Yale, Economics
  • B.A. Summa Cum Laude (1979) Brandeis, Economics